{"id":760,"date":"2024-05-06T12:58:31","date_gmt":"2024-05-06T16:58:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/?p=760"},"modified":"2024-05-07T10:49:46","modified_gmt":"2024-05-07T14:49:46","slug":"the-citadel-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/2024\/05\/the-citadel-poll\/","title":{"rendered":"The Citadel Poll"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-citadel-poll\">The Citadel Poll<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>An <a href=\"https:\/\/today.citadel.edu\/newly-launched-the-citadel-poll-will-survey-south-carolina-voters-each-year\/\">election poll<\/a> designed by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/shss\/faculty-staff\/col-dubose-kapeluck-ph-d\/\">DuBose Kapeluck,<\/a> head of the Department of Political Science,\u00a0and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/political-science\/faculty-staff\/dr-mark-owens\/\">Assistant Professor of Political Science Mark Owens<\/a>, has been lauded as one of the best polls of South Carolina voters.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>The poll sought to measure support for likely presidential candidates in the state and to assess seven leadership traits among leading candidates.\u00a0Nearly 1,000 surveys were conducted\u2014405 by phone and 587 electronically. The results matched CBS News (online only) and were more accurate than Winthrop University (phone and online).\u00a0Amy Walter of <em>The Cook Political Report<\/em> noted that the poll did not overestimate support for either of the two leading presidential candidates. The difference in the outcome resulted from late shifts in enthusiasm for both candidates.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"683\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/179\/Kapeluck-683x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-761\" style=\"aspect-ratio:3\/4;object-fit:cover\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/179\/Kapeluck-683x1024.jpg 683w, https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/179\/Kapeluck-200x300.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/179\/Kapeluck-768x1152.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/179\/Kapeluck-1024x1536.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/179\/Kapeluck-1365x2048.jpg 1365w, https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/179\/Kapeluck-scaled.jpg 1707w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 683px) 100vw, 683px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"683\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/179\/Owens-Mark-00143-683x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-852\" style=\"aspect-ratio:3\/4;object-fit:cover\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/179\/Owens-Mark-00143-683x1024.jpg 683w, https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/179\/Owens-Mark-00143-200x300.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/179\/Owens-Mark-00143-768x1152.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/179\/Owens-Mark-00143-1024x1536.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/179\/Owens-Mark-00143-1365x2048.jpg 1365w, https:\/\/www.citadel.edu\/provost-notes\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/179\/Owens-Mark-00143-scaled.jpg 1707w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 683px) 100vw, 683px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The Citadel&#8217;s gold standard method of probability sampling earned immediate acceptance from public outlets, including Real Clear Politics, which does not post all polls. The Citadel Poll was used by ABC, Fox News, NPR, FiveThirtyEight, and local and state outlets. Polling&nbsp;data was shared with the Roper Center at Cornell University to increase transparency and credibility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kapeluck and Owens published a commentary piece in the&nbsp;<em>Post &amp; Courier<\/em>&nbsp;about the need to study population shifts in South Carolina. They will present the results at a conference and in a forthcoming book.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, Kapeluck and Owens received a $25,000 grant from the Lowcountry Graduate Center for embedding projects related to data analysis and survey research in the Master of Arts in Social Science program.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An election poll designed by DuBose Kapeluck, head of the Department of Political Science,\u00a0and Assistant Professor of Political Science Mark Owens, has been lauded as one of the best South Carolina voter polls.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":612,"featured_media":761,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-760","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-may-2024"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - 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